Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.086915e-03 1.236368e-03 0.001388 0.001552 0.001724 0.001899 0.002089
2025-05-04 9.093505e-04 1.127072e-03 0.001355 0.001610 0.001884 0.002168 0.002485
2025-05-11 6.865685e-04 9.433327e-04 0.001223 0.001545 0.001901 0.002277 0.002703
2025-05-18 4.917531e-04 7.676670e-04 0.001083 0.001457 0.001881 0.002339 0.002864
2025-05-25 3.658240e-04 6.554691e-04 0.001002 0.001427 0.001918 0.002456 0.003081
2025-06-01 2.473856e-04 5.345170e-04 0.000899 0.001361 0.001907 0.002516 0.003231
2025-06-08 1.731696e-04 4.583583e-04 0.000842 0.001343 0.001948 0.002629 0.003437
2025-06-15 1.388078e-04 4.328263e-04 0.000846 0.001397 0.002069 0.002832 0.003743
2025-06-22 8.549784e-05 3.643487e-04 0.000786 0.001367 0.002087 0.002916 0.003911
2025-06-29 5.485128e-05 3.246033e-04 0.000761 0.001377 0.002152 0.003050 0.004135
2025-07-06 4.924545e-05 3.333640e-04 0.000805 0.001476 0.002323 0.003308 0.004501
2025-07-13 2.311287e-05 2.837238e-04 0.000758 0.001454 0.002346 0.003391 0.004662
2025-07-20 7.328516e-07 2.064949e-04 0.000673 0.001395 0.002343 0.003470 0.004853
2025-07-27 NaN 1.806338e-04 0.000668 0.001444 0.002477 0.003714 0.005241
2025-08-03 NaN 1.171904e-04 0.000583 0.001378 0.002465 0.003783 0.005424
2025-08-10 NaN 6.147600e-05 0.000491 0.001292 0.002421 0.003811 0.005559
2025-08-17 NaN 3.255658e-05 0.000440 0.001261 0.002446 0.003923 0.005791
2025-08-24 NaN 8.708225e-06 0.000373 0.001198 0.002425 0.003974 0.005950
2025-08-31 NaN 7.996261e-07 0.000337 0.001180 0.002463 0.004098 0.006194
2025-09-07 NaN 7.548661e-09 0.000340 0.001230 0.002594 0.004338 0.006576
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000301 0.001202 0.002613 0.004435 0.006786
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000285 0.001211 0.002685 0.004599 0.007076
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001304 0.002876 0.004912 0.007546